Creative Finance Newsletter NOVEMBER 2009

RBA increases rates by a further 0.25%

The RBA has increased the cash rate for the second month running by 25 basis points to 3.5 per cent.

This was widely expected by economists, as the RBA focusses more on inflation.

In the accompanying press statement today, the RBA stated:

    The global economy has resumed growth. With economic policy settings likely to remain expansionary for some time, the recovery is likely to continue during 2010 and forecasts have been revised higher. The expansion is generally expected to be modest in the major countries, due to the continuing legacy of the financial crisis…

    Economic conditions in Australia have been stronger than expected and measures of confidence have recovered… Medium-term prospects for investment appear, moreover, to be strengthening. Higher dwelling activity and public infrastructure spending are also starting to provide more support to spending. There have been some early signs of an improvement in labour market conditions. The rate of unemployment is now likely to peak at a considerably lower level than earlier expected.

    …Headline CPI inflation on a year-ended basis has been unusually low because of temporary factors, and will probably rise somewhat over the coming year. Both CPI and underlying inflation are expected to be consistent with the target in 2010.

    Housing credit growth has been solid and dwelling prices have risen appreciably this year… Share markets have recovered significant ground.

    …Growth is likely to be close to trend over the year ahead and inflation close to target. With the risk of serious economic contraction in Australia now having passed, the Board’s view is that it is prudent to lessen gradually the degree of monetary stimulus.

    …The adjustments at the October and November meetings will work to increase the sustainability of growth in economic activity and keep inflation consistent with the target over the years ahead.

If you would like to discuss how this could affect your home loan, please get in touch.

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